Club Friendlies 3
Leioa
Jul 18, 2026 6.30pm
0
11
HT : 0 7
FT Estadio Sarriena
Athletic Bilbao
  • goal Robert Navarro 7'
  • goal Álvaro Djaló 10'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 17'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 19'
  • goal Álvaro Djaló 25'
  • goal Robert Navarro 31'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 41'
  • goal Álex Berenguer 60'
  • goal Elijah Gift 80' (OG)
  • goal Asier Hierro 83'
  • goal Asier Hierro 90'

Leioa vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leioa

All competitions

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 6.30pm
Derio 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Leioa had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Leioa win was 1-0 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%).

Result

Leioa 24.84%
Draw 22.24%
Athletic Bilbao 52.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.02%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.5%
Under 1.5 21.5%
Over 2.5 56.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 65.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 21.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.95% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Leioa 21.01%
Draw 40.35%
Athletic Bilbao 38.64%

Team To Score First

Leioa 34.88%
No Goal 5.75%
Athletic Bilbao 59.37%

Corners

Over 8 58.83%
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 29.47%
Over 9 46.8%
Equal 9 12.03%
Under 9 41.17%
Over 10.5 35.5%
Under 10.5 64.5%

Leioa Goals

Over 1.5 28.63%
Under 1.5 71.37%
Over 2.5 9.71%
Under 2.5 90.29%
Over 3.5 3.27%
Under 3.5 96.73%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 80% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.01% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Leioa 24.84%
Draw 22.24%
Athletic Bilbao 52.91%
Leioa
1-0 @ 6.24%
2-1 @ 6%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 24.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.24%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.5%
0-2 @ 8.17%
1-3 @ 5.69%
0-3 @ 4.84%
2-3 @ 4.04%
Other @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 52.91%

Form Data

CD Calahorra 2 - 0 Leioa
Leioa 2 - 1 Racing
Real Madrid Castilla 4 - 1 Leioa
Derio 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid 4 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Celta Vigo
Espanyol 2 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Valencia
Alaves 2 - 4 Athletic Bilbao