Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 6.30pm
Estadio Sarriena

Leioa vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leioa

All competitions

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 6.30pm
Derio 0 - 3 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Leioa has a probability of 24.84% and a draw has a probability of 22.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Leioa win is 1-0 (6.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.5%).

Result

Leioa 24.84%
Draw 22.24%
Athletic Bilbao 52.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.02% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.15% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.85% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 34.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.43% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 21.07% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.93% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Leioa 21.01%
Draw 40.35% (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 38.64% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Leioa 34.88% (+0.09)
No Goal 5.75%
Athletic Bilbao 59.37% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.83% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.7%
Under 8 29.47% (-0.11)
Over 9 46.8% (+0.08)
Equal 9 12.03% (+0.01)
Under 9 41.17% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 35.5% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 64.5% (-0.07)

Leioa Goals

Over 1.5 28.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.71%
Under 2.5 90.29%
Over 3.5 3.27%
Under 3.5 96.73%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 80.01% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.99% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.4%
Under 1.5 48.6%
Over 2.5 26.34%
Under 2.5 73.66%
Over 3.5 11% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Leioa 24.84%
Draw 22.24%
Athletic Bilbao 52.91%
Leioa
1-0 @ 6.24%
2-1 @ 6% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 24.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5%
0-0 @ 5.75%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.24%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.69%
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.04%
Other @ 10.99% (+0.01)
Total : 52.91%