Ligue 1
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 2' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 10' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 55' goal
  • Arthur Vermeeren 72' yellowcard
  • Quinten Timber 82' yellowcard
  • Nouhoum Kamissoko 83' yellowcard
  • Quinten Timber 83' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 46'
  • yellowcard Arnaud Nordin 67'
  • yellowcard Nordan Mukiele 79'
  • yellowcard Nordan Mukiele 80'
  • goal Estéban Lepaul 84'

Marseille vs Rennes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Rennes 2 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Esteban Lepaul

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 52.04% (+0.11)
Draw 22.91% (-0.33)
Rennes 25.05% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.2% (+0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.43% (+0.56)
Under 1.5 17.57% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 61.84% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 38.16% (-0.74)
Over 3.5 40.35% (+1.29)
Under 3.5 59.62% (-1.33)
Over 4.5 25.36% (+1.17)
Under 4.5 74.64% (-1.16)

First Half Winner

Marseille 41.62% (-0.53)
Draw 37% (+0.79)
Rennes 21.37% (-0.28)

Team To Score First

Marseille 61.33% (-0.24)
No Goal 4.48% (-0.24)
Rennes 34.19% (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 55.36% (+3.27)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.31)
Under 8 33.05% (-2.97)
Over 9 43.76% (+3.27)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.64% (-3.27)
Over 10.5 33.12% (+3.02)
Under 10.5 66.89% (-3.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 55.03% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 44.97% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 29.25% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 70.75% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 13.33% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 86.67% (-0.74)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5 62.87% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 37.13% (-0.26)
Over 1.5 32.17% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 67.83% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 12.87% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 87.13% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 4.17% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.83% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Marseille 52.05%
Draw 22.92%
Rennes 25.05%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.68% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.26)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.24)
3-2 @ 3.76% (+0.16)
Other @ 12.92% (+0.71)
Total : 52.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.41% (+0.02)
Total : 22.92%
Rennes
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.25)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.95% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.76% (+0.23)
Total : 25.05%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Feb 3, 2026 8.10pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Amine Gouiri 2' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 46' goal
  • Bilal Nadir 46' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 70' yellowcard
  • Hamed Traore 78' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 78' yellowcard
  • Hamed Junior Traoré 78' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Pavard 82' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Nagida 31'
  • yellowcard Breel Embolo 46'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Blas 58'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 79'
  • yellowcard Elías Legendre 79'
  • yellowcard Elías Legendre Quiñónez 79'
Ligue 1
Aug 15, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Mason Greenwood 21' goal
  • Adrien Rabiot 38' goal
  • Luiz Felipe 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 45'+1' goal
  • Michael Murillo 64' yellowcard
  • Amar Dedic 89' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ismael Kone 14'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 29'
  • yellowcard Anthony Rouault 30'
  • yellowcard Lorenz Assignon 50'
  • goal Andres Gomez 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 11, 2025 8.05pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 43' goal
  • Hans Hateboer 63' yellowcard
  • Lorenz Assignon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mason Greenwood 45'
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 49'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 4.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Martin Terrier 21' goal
  • Benjamin Bourigeaud 77' goal
  • Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 38'
  • yellowcard Pau Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 80'
Coupe de France
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de la Route de Lorient
  • Desire Doue 27' yellowcard
  • Martin Terrier 53' goal
  • Bertug Yildirim 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Veretout 29'
  • yellowcard Jean Onana 36'
  • yellowcard Ulisses Garcia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Vitor Oliveira 49'