Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Marseille
Sep 6, 2026 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Vélodrome
Paris FC
  • Amine Gouiri 8' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 53' goal
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 1'
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 19'
  • yellowcard Rudy Matondo 65'
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 86'
  • yellowcard Lassine Sinayoko 87'

Marseille vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Monaco 2 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.55% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 56.96%
Draw 24.55%
Paris FC 18.48% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.93% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 26.07% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.8% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.2% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 30.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 81.61% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Marseille 39.14%
Draw 41.18%
Paris FC 19.68%

Team To Score First

Marseille 59.2% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.96% ▲ (+0.02)
Paris FC 32.84% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 31.53%
Over 9 45.41%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 43%
Over 10.5 34.66%
Under 10.5 65.34%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 52.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 47.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 26.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 73.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 11.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.63% ▲ (+0.02)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 52.25% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 47.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Score analysis

Marseille 56.96%
Draw 24.55%
Paris FC 18.47%
Marseille
1-0 @ 12.46% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.99%
3-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 11.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.55%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 18.47%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Paris FC
Jan 31, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
Marseille
  • Marshall Munetsi 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 64' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Ollila 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikoné 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikoné 82' goal
  • Willem Geubbels 86' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 18'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 53'
  • yellowcard Hamed Junior Traoré 67'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 67'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 79'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 79'
  • yellowcard Amir Murillo 80'
Ligue 1
Marseille
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Paris FC

Form Data

Monaco 2 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg
Marseille 1 - 2 Atletico
Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Marseille 3 - 0 Al Shahaniya
Marseille 2 - 1 Nimes
Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice
Troyes 0 - 0 Paris FC
Angers 3 - 2 Paris FC
Paris FC 0 - 0 Auxerre
Mainz 4 - 0 Paris FC
Stuttgart 2 - 2 Paris FC