Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Sep 6, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Monaco 2 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Vincent Marchetti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw has a probability of 24.02% and a win for Paris FC has a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Paris FC win it is 0-1 (5.78%).

Result

Marseille 57.68% (-0.04)
Draw 24.02% (-0.04)
Paris FC 18.3% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.84% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.57% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 26.43% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 50.15% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 49.85% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 29.73% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.27% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 18.29% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.71% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Marseille 40.47% (-0.01)
Draw 40.21%
Paris FC 19.31%

Team To Score First

Marseille 59.77% (+0.06)
No Goal 7.91% (-0.04)
Paris FC 32.32% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.58% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 31.7% (-0.02)
Over 9 44.76% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.42% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.85% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.15% (-0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 52.01% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.99% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.49% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 73.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 11.39%
Under 3.5 88.61%

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 51.69% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 48.31% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 20.95% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 79.05% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.77% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 93.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.92%
Under 3.5 98.08%

Score analysis

Marseille 57.69%
Draw 24.02%
Paris FC 18.31%
Marseille
1-0 @ 12.76% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.09% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.19% (+0.01)
Total : 57.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 24.02%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.46% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72% (+0.02)
Total : 18.31%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Jan 31, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Marshall Munetsi 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 64' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Ollila 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikoné 64' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikoné 82' goal
  • Willem Geubbels 86' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Greenwood 18'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 53'
  • yellowcard Hamed Junior Traoré 67'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 67'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 79'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 79'
  • yellowcard Amir Murillo 80'
Ligue 1
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT