Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Eric Dier

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Monaco has a probability of 37.98% and a draw has a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Monaco win is 2-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.15%).

Result

Monaco 37.98% (-0.10)
Draw 22.33%
Marseille 39.66% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.66% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.26% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 15.74% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 65.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 34.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 45.1%
Under 3.5 54.9%
Over 4.5 29.76% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 70.24% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Monaco 29.93%
Draw 37.21%
Marseille 32.86%

Team To Score First

Monaco 51.03%
No Goal 4.1% (-0.02)
Marseille 44.87% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.4% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 39.88%
Over 9 37.3% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 51.6% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 27.61% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 72.39% (-0.02)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 45.34% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.66% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 23.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 76.96% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.38% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.62% (+0.04)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 73.46% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 26.54% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 46.6% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 53.4% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 23.4% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 76.6% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 9.99% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 90.01% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Monaco 37.98%
Draw 22.33%
Marseille 39.65%
Monaco
2-1 @ 7.45%
1-0 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 2.42%
Other @ 9.91% (-0.04)
Total : 37.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.47% (+0.01)
Total : 22.33%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.52% (+0.03)
Total : 39.65%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Aleksandr Golovin 59' goal
  • Aladji Bamba 65' yellowcard
  • Krépin Diatta 65' yellowcard
  • Folarin Balogun 74' goal
  • Ansu Fati 75' yellowcard
  • Ansu Fati 77' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 84' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 84' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 73'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 77'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 85'
  • yellowcard Emerson 89'
  • yellowcard Himad Abdelli 89'
  • yellowcard Himad Abdelli 90'
Ligue 1
Dec 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 82' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vanderson 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Wilfried Singo 9' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 34' goal
  • Breel Embolo 58' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 82' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 89' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 41'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 50' goal
  • Emran Soglo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 7'
  • redcard Guillermo Maripan 11'
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 75'
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 82'
  • redcard Denis Zakaria 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Maghnes Akliouche 8' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 23' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 42' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 52' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 59' yellowcard
  • Eliot Matazo 76' yellowcard
  • Soungoutou Magassa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 1'
  • goal Samuel Gigot 18'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 54'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Clauss 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 77'