Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Monaco
Aug 30, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Paris Brunner 13' goal
  • Denis Zakaria  42' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 43' yellowcard
  • Paris Brunner 53' goal
  • Nazinho 88' yellowcard
  • Lukas Hradecky 90'+2' yellowcard

Monaco vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Paris Brunner

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 3-1 (4.77%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Monaco 40.68% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 22.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Marseille 36.56% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.53% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.6%
Under 1.5 15.4%
Over 2.5 66.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 33.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 45.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 54.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 29.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 70.22% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Monaco 31.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 39.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Marseille 28.75% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Monaco 52.5% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Marseille 43.44% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 46.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 42.12% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 35% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 53.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 10.5 25.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 74.43% ▼ (-0.11)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 48.13% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 51.87% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 25.17% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 74.83% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 11.44% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 88.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 71.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 28.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 1.5 44.45% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 1.5 55.55% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 21.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 78.38% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 8.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 91.11% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Monaco 40.69%
Draw 22.76%
Marseille 36.56%
Monaco
2-1 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 40.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.76%
Marseille
1-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 8.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 36.56%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Monaco
Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Aleksandr Golovin 59' goal
  • Aladji Bamba 65' yellowcard
  • Krépin Diatta 65' yellowcard
  • Folarin Balogun 74' goal
  • Ansu Fati 75' yellowcard
  • Ansu Fati 77' yellowcard
  • Mika Biereth 84' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 84' yellowcard
  • Simon Adingra 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 73'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 77'
  • goal Amine Gouiri 85'
  • yellowcard Emerson 89'
  • yellowcard Himad Abdelli 89'
  • yellowcard Himad Abdelli 90'
Ligue 1
Marseille
Dec 14, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Monaco
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 40' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 82' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vanderson 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Monaco
Apr 12, 2025 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Wilfried Singo 9' yellowcard
  • Takumi Minamino 34' goal
  • Breel Embolo 58' goal
  • Thilo Kehrer 78' yellowcard
  • Denis Zakaria 82' goal
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Marseille
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Velodrome
Monaco
  • Luis Henrique 53' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 89' goal
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 41'
  • yellowcard Vanderson 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Marseille
Jan 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Velodrome
Monaco
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 38' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 50' goal
  • Emran Soglo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 7'
  • redcard Guillermo Maripan 11'
  • goal Maghnes Akliouche 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 75'
  • yellowcard Thilo Kehrer 82'
  • redcard Denis Zakaria 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 7
Monaco
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stade Louis II.
Marseille
  • Maghnes Akliouche 8' goal
  • Folarin Balogun 23' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 42' yellowcard
  • Maghnes Akliouche 52' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 59' yellowcard
  • Eliot Matazo 76' yellowcard
  • Soungoutou Magassa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Iliman Ndiaye 1'
  • goal Samuel Gigot 18'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 54'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Clauss 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 77'

Form Data

Monaco 4 - 1 Gornik
Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco
Gornik 2 - 3 Monaco
Coventry 2 - 0 Monaco
Liverpool 2 - 3 Monaco
Monaco 1 - 0 Getafe
Marseille 4 - 0 Strasbourg
Marseille 1 - 2 Atletico
Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao
Marseille 3 - 0 Al Shahaniya
Marseille 2 - 1 Nimes
Marseille 0 - 3 Nice