/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmonlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
-
Wout Faes
58'
-
Mamadou Coulibaly
58'
-
Ansu Fati
59'
-
Ilane Touré
80'
-
Mika Biereth
80'
-
Nabil Bentaleb
46'
-
Ethan Mbappé
62'
-
Gaëtan Perrin
71'
-
Denis Zakaria
72'
(OG)
-
Alexsandro
89'
-
Calvin Verdonk
89'
-
Alexsandro
90'
-
Calvin Verdonk
90'
Monaco vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F05%2Fansu-fait-69fd215575715044962534.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.28%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result
Monaco
39.77%
Draw
24.2%
Lille
36.03%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
62.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.78%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
18.22%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
60.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
39.17%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
39.68%
Under 3.5
60.32%
Over 4.5
24.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
75.7%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Monaco
28.37%
Draw
42.92%
Lille
28.71%
Team To Score First
Monaco
44.7%
No Goal
4.86%
Lille
50.44%
Corners
Over 8
54.2%
Equal 8
12.34%
Under 8
33.46%
Over 9
41.96%
Equal 9
12.24%
Under 9
45.8%
Over 10.5
30.89%
Under 10.5
69.11%
Monaco Goals
Over 1.5
45.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
54.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 2.5
21.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
78.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
8.76%
Under 3.5
91.24%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
71.8%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
28.2%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
41.89%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
58.11%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
18.83%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
81.17%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
6.81%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
93.19%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Monaco
39.77%
Draw
24.21%
Lille
36.03%
Monaco
2-1
@
8.09%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.72%
Other @ 8.39%
Total : 39.77%
1-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.72%
Other @ 8.39%
Total : 39.77%
Draw
1-1
@
10.71%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.21%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.21%
Lille
1-2
@
8.1%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.03%
0-1 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.03%
