Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Louis II.

Monaco vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 6.00pm
Metz 1 - 2 Monaco
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Folarin Balogun

Lille

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 2.00pm
Lille 1 - 1 Le Havre
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Monaco win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Lille has a probability of 36.04% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Lille win is 1-2 (8.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.68%).

Result

Monaco 39.76%
Draw 24.2%
Lille 36.04% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.43%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 60.84% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 39.16% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 39.69%
Under 3.5 60.31%
Over 4.5 24.29%
Under 4.5 75.71%

First Half Winner

Monaco 28.38%
Draw 42.91% (-0.02)
Lille 28.71%

Team To Score First

Monaco 44.7% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.87% (+0.01)
Lille 50.43% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 54.24% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 33.41% (+0.04)
Over 9 41.99% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.25% (-0.01)
Under 9 45.76% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.9% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 69.1% (+0.04)

Monaco Goals

Over 1.5 45.02% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 54.98% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.66% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.34% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.76%
Under 3.5 91.24%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 71.76%
Under 0.5 28.24%
Over 1.5 41.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.1% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.84%
Under 2.5 81.16%
Over 3.5 6.82%
Under 3.5 93.18%

Score analysis

Monaco 39.75%
Draw 24.19%
Lille 36.05%
Monaco
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.39%
Total : 39.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 24.19%
Lille
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.41% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.45%
Total : 36.05%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 24, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 22' goal
  • Hakon Arnar Haraldsson 42' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 73' yellowcard
  • Jonathan David 73' yellowcard
  • Matias Fernandez Pardo 89' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 19'
  • goal Takumi Minamino 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Krepin Diatta 58'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Jordan Teze 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Teze 61' redcard
  • yellowcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 11'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 34'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 44'
  • yellowcard Osame Sahraoui 70'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bayo 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Louis II.
  • Maghnes Akliouche 38' yellowcard
  • Youssouf Fofana 61' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 54'
  • yellowcard Ayyoub Bouaddi 66'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Ivan Cavaleiro 32' goal
  • Bafode Diakite 42' goal
  • Yusuf Yazici 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilfried Singo 48'
  • yellowcard Denis Zakaria 50'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 35
May 14, 2023 4.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT