Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.58% and a win for Metz had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%) , while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.