Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Rennes

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Strasbourg 5 - 4 Monaco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Strasbourg has a probability of 24.85% and a draw has a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win is 1-2 (6.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.84%).

Result

Marseille 52.73%
Draw 22.45%
Strasbourg 24.85% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.74%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.66% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 17.34% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 62.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 37.87% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 39.63% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 60.37% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 24.37% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 75.63% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Marseille 38.99%
Draw 38.57%
Strasbourg 22.45%

Team To Score First

Marseille 58.95%
No Goal 4.43%
Strasbourg 36.62%

Corners

Over 8 57.26%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 31.32%
Over 9 45.69%
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 42.74%
Over 10.5 34.91%
Under 10.5 65.09%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 55.56% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 44.44% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 29.2% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 70.8% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 12.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 87.43% (-0.03)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 63.07% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.93% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.96% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 68.04% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Marseille 52.73%
Draw 22.46%
Strasbourg 24.85%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.89%
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 12.31% (+0.04)
Total : 52.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.46%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 6.48% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5%
0-2 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-3 @ 2.58% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.65% (+0.01)
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Mason Greenwood 14' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 47' goal
  • Himad Abdelli 71' yellowcard
  • Igor Paixão 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoul Ouattara 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 63'
  • yellowcard Gessime Yassine 64'
  • goal Sebastian Nanasi 73'
  • yellowcard David Datro Fofana 85'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Panichelli 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Aarón Anselmino 90'+8'
Ligue 1
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Emanuel Emegha 23' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 68' goal
  • Pol Lirola 71' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Emegha 26'
  • yellowcard Guela Doue 28'
  • yellowcard Felix Lemarechal 42'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Liam Rosenior 7' yellowcard
  • Diego Moreira 40' goal
  • Ismael Doukoure 56' yellowcard
  • Guela Doue 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Samuel Gigot 3' goal
  • Bamo Meite 34' yellowcard
  • Bilal Nadir 84' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Senaya 77'
  • goal Jeremy Sebas 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ismael Doukoure 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Emanuel Emegha 6' goal
  • Dilane Bakwa 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 27'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 54'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 90'+1'