Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2026 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Amine Gouiri 46' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 68' goal
  • Nayef Aguerd 79' yellowcard
  • Keyliane Abdallah 89' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Højbjerg 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 48'
  • redcard Samir El Mourabet 59'
  • yellowcard Sékou Mara 61'

Marseille vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Rennes
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
Strasbourg 5 - 4 Monaco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (6.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%).

Result

Marseille 52.74%
Draw 22.44%
Strasbourg 24.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.73%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 17.44% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 62.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 37.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 39.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 60.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.69% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Marseille 39.04%
Draw 38.61%
Strasbourg 22.35%

Team To Score First

Marseille 58.88%
No Goal 4.44%
Strasbourg 36.68%

Corners

Over 8 57.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 31.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 45.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 11.57%
Under 9 42.77% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 34.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 65.12% ▲ (+0.07)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 55.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 44.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 29.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 70.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 12.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.47% ▲ (+0.02)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 62.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 37.01% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 31.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.1% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 12.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Marseille 52.74%
Draw 22.44%
Strasbourg 24.81%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 12.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 52.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.44%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 6.46%
0-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 24.81%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Mason Greenwood 14' goal
  • Amine Gouiri 47' goal
  • Himad Abdelli 71' yellowcard
  • Igor Paixão 71' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoul Ouattara 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 63'
  • yellowcard Gessime Yassine 64'
  • goal Sebastian Nanasi 73'
  • yellowcard David Datro Fofana 85'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Panichelli 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Aarón Anselmino 90'+8'
Ligue 1
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Emanuel Emegha 23' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 68' goal
  • Pol Lirola 71' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Emegha 26'
  • yellowcard Guela Doue 28'
  • yellowcard Felix Lemarechal 42'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Liam Rosenior 7' yellowcard
  • Diego Moreira 40' goal
  • Ismael Doukoure 56' yellowcard
  • Guela Doue 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Samuel Gigot 3' goal
  • Bamo Meite 34' yellowcard
  • Bilal Nadir 84' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Senaya 77'
  • goal Jeremy Sebas 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ismael Doukoure 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Emanuel Emegha 6' goal
  • Dilane Bakwa 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 27'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 54'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 90'+1'