Club Friendlies 3
Aug 16, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • William Osula 38' goal
  • goal Gessime Yassine 69'

Newcastle United vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Newcastle 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen

Strasbourg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 2.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 Strasbourg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 46.59% ▼ (-2.43)
Draw 23.6% ▼ (-0.53)
Strasbourg 29.86% ▲ (+3.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.69% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.85% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 17.15% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 63.5% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 2.5 36.5% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 3.5 41.08% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 3.5 58.92% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 4.5 25.01% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 4.5 74.99% ▼ (-0.33)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 36.49% ▼ (-1.40)
Draw 39.28% ▼ (-0.40)
Strasbourg 24.23% ▲ (+1.79)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 56.29% ▼ (-0.58)
No Goal 4.88% ▼ (-0.33)
Strasbourg 38.83% ▲ (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 65.07% ▲ (+1.09)
Equal 8 11.09% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 8 23.84% ▼ (-1.41)
Over 9 53.02% ▲ (+0.59)
Equal 9 12.05% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 9 34.93% ▼ (-1.10)
Over 10.5 41.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.87% ▼ (-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 51.71% ▼ (-1.72)
Under 1.5 48.29% ▲ (+1.72)
Over 2.5 25.95% ▼ (-1.56)
Under 2.5 74.05% ▲ (+1.55)
Over 3.5 11.04% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 3.5 88.96% ▲ (+0.84)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 67.49% ▲ (+2.15)
Under 0.5 32.51% ▼ (-2.15)
Over 1.5 37.84% ▲ (+2.79)
Under 1.5 62.16% ▼ (-2.79)
Over 2.5 15.94% ▲ (+1.91)
Under 2.5 84.06% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 3.5 5.88% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 94.12% ▼ (-0.82)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 46.59%
Draw 23.6%
Strasbourg 29.87%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.29)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.44)
3-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.38)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.79)
Total : 46.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.33)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 23.6%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.42)
0-1 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.36)
0-2 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.40)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.37)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.88)
Total : 29.87%