Club Friendlies 3
Jul 29, 2026 7.30pm
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 1.00pm
Bristol City 1 - 3 Swindon

Newcastle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 12.30pm
Gateshead 1 - 1 Newcastle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Bristol City has a probability of 33.4% and a draw has a probability of 26.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Bristol City win is 2-1 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result

Bristol City 33.4% (-6.57)
Draw 26.05% (+0.02)
Newcastle United 40.56% (+6.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.57% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.99% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 22.01% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 55.54% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 44.46% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 32.36% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 67.64% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 18.56% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 81.44% (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 30.83% (-0.28)
Draw 40.4% (-1.93)
Newcastle United 28.78% (+2.21)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 46.89% (-2.86)
No Goal 6.84% (-0.04)
Newcastle United 46.27% (+2.90)

Corners

Over 8 62.23% (+1.43)
Equal 8 10.96% (-0.33)
Under 8 26.81% (-1.11)
Over 9 50.66% (+1.66)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.22)
Under 9 37.77% (-1.43)
Over 10.5 39.46% (+1.74)
Under 10.5 60.54% (-1.74)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 36.71% (-5.43)
Under 1.5 63.29% (+5.43)
Over 2.5 14.6% (-3.14)
Under 2.5 85.4% (+3.14)
Over 3.5 4.56% (-1.54)
Under 3.5 95.44% (+1.54)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.07% (+4.66)
Under 0.5 25.93% (-4.66)
Over 1.5 43.1% (+5.51)
Under 1.5 56.9% (-5.51)
Over 2.5 19.18% (+3.94)
Under 2.5 80.82% (-3.95)
Over 3.5 7.15% (+1.96)
Under 3.5 92.85% (-1.96)

Score analysis

Bristol City 33.4%
Draw 26.04%
Newcastle United 40.57%
Bristol City
2-1 @ 8.03% (-1.08)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.90)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-1.30)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.67)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.84)
Other @ 4.42% (-1.58)
Total : 33.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.04)
Total : 26.04%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 8.98% (+0.87)
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.71)
0-2 @ 5.98% (+1.24)
1-3 @ 4.06% (+0.68)
0-3 @ 3.72% (+0.81)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.38)
Other @ 7.01% (+1.92)
Total : 40.57%

Head to Head

Championship
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Korey Smith 59' goal
  • Ciaran Clark 82' goal
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 11'
  • goal David Cotterill 21'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wilbraham 51'
Championship
Aug 20, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Freeman 33' yellowcard
  • Lee Tomlin 45' yellowcard
  • Mark Little 55' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Gayle 19'
Championship
Mar 20, 2010 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lewin Nyatanga 10' goal
  • Jamie McAllister 16' yellowcard
  • Nicky Maynard 44' goal
  • yellowcard Fabricio Coloccini 46'
  • yellowcard Danny Guthrie 59'
  • goal Jonas Gutierrez 71'
  • goal Andy Carroll 75'
Championship
Oct 3, 2009 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zurab Khizanishvili 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Saborio 45'
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 53'