Championship
Birmingham
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City
  • Phil Neumann 8' goal
  • Jhon Solís 29' goal
  • Tomoki Iwata 60' yellowcard
  • Tommy Doyle 70' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 70' yellowcard
  • Alex Cochrane 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Dickie 46'
  • yellowcard Adam Randell 63'
  • yellowcard Emil Riis 63'
  • yellowcard Sinclair Armstrong 77'
  • yellowcard Tomi Horvat 82'

Birmingham City vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 7.45pm
Birmingham 2 - 1 Preston
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Southampton 2 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.49% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Birmingham City 56.23%
Draw 25.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Bristol City 18.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.66%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 32.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 42.92%
Under 2.5 57.08%
Over 3.5 22.73%
Under 3.5 77.27%
Over 4.5 12.98%
Under 4.5 87.02%

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 43.76%
Draw 39.55%
Bristol City 16.69%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 60.07% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 10.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Bristol City 29.9%

Corners

Over 8 65.05%
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 23.66%
Over 9 52.75%
Equal 9 12.29%
Under 9 34.95%
Over 10.5 40.64%
Under 10.5 59.36%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 46.65%
Under 1.5 53.35%
Over 2.5 21.32%
Under 2.5 78.68%
Over 3.5 7.86%
Under 3.5 92.14%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 50.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 49.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 82.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.73%
Under 2.5 95.27%
Over 3.5 1.03%
Under 3.5 98.97%

Score analysis

Birmingham City 56.22%
Draw 25.5%
Bristol City 18.31%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.97%
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.63%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 7.85%
Total : 56.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.66%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.5%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.05%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 18.31%

Head to Head

Championship
Bristol City
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Birmingham
Championship Gameweek 25
Birmingham
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City
Championship Gameweek 3
Bristol City
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham
  • Robert Dickie 38' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 76' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 20'
  • goal Koji Miyoshi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 52'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 84'
Championship Gameweek 27
Bristol City
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham
  • Antoine Semenyo 17' goal
  • Nahki Wells 21' goal
  • Mark Sykes 47' goal
  • Mark Sykes 66' goal
  • goal Troy Deeney 34'
  • goal Reda Khadra 76'
Championship Gameweek 14
Birmingham
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City
  • Auston Trusty 3' goal
  • Auston Trusty 43' goal
  • Dion Sanderson 75' goal
Championship Gameweek 36
Bristol City
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Birmingham
  • Timm Klose 31' yellowcard
  • Alex Scott 48' goal
  • Alex Scott 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tahith Chong 2'
  • goal Nico Gordon 13'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 90'+3'

Form Data

Birmingham 2 - 1 Preston
Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 0 Wrexham
Ipswich 2 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 0 - 1 Blackburn
Derby 1 - 0 Birmingham
Southampton 2 - 2 Bristol City
Bristol City 2 - 4 Norwich
QPR 0 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 1 - 0 Sheff Utd
Charlton 1 - 2 Bristol City
Bristol City 0 - 1 West Brom