Championship Gameweek 45
Birmingham
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham City vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol City 2 - 4 Norwich
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw has a probability of 26.23% and a win for Bristol City has a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.68%) , while for a Bristol City win it is 0-1 (7.69%).

Result

Birmingham City 52.35%
Draw 26.23%
Bristol City 21.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.83%
Under 1.5 32.17%
Over 2.5 42.47%
Under 2.5 57.53%
Over 3.5 21.97%
Under 3.5 78.03%
Over 4.5 12.14%
Under 4.5 87.86%

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 40.23%
Draw 40.97%
Bristol City 18.8%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 56.42%
No Goal 9.92%
Bristol City 33.66%

Corners

Over 8 66.86%
Equal 8 10.68%
Under 8 22.46%
Over 9 55.11%
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 33.14%
Over 10.5 43.33%
Under 10.5 56.67%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 43.69%
Under 1.5 56.31%
Over 2.5 18.9%
Under 2.5 81.1%
Over 3.5 6.74%
Under 3.5 93.26%

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 53.46%
Under 0.5 46.54%
Over 1.5 20.49%
Under 1.5 79.51%
Over 2.5 5.9%
Under 2.5 94.1%
Over 3.5 1.35%
Under 3.5 98.65%

Score analysis

Birmingham City 52.35%
Draw 26.24%
Bristol City 21.4%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.55%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 2.14%
Other @ 6.71%
Total : 52.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 26.24%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.69%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.4%

Head to Head

Championship
Bristol City
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Birmingham
Championship Gameweek 25
Birmingham
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City
Championship Gameweek 3
Bristol City
Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham
  • Robert Dickie 38' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 76' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 20'
  • goal Koji Miyoshi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 52'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 84'
Championship Gameweek 27
Bristol City
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham
  • Antoine Semenyo 17' goal
  • Nahki Wells 21' goal
  • Mark Sykes 47' goal
  • Mark Sykes 66' goal
  • goal Troy Deeney 34'
  • goal Reda Khadra 76'
Championship Gameweek 14
Birmingham
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City
  • Auston Trusty 3' goal
  • Auston Trusty 43' goal
  • Dion Sanderson 75' goal
Championship Gameweek 36
Bristol City
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Birmingham
  • Timm Klose 31' yellowcard
  • Alex Scott 48' goal
  • Alex Scott 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tahith Chong 2'
  • goal Nico Gordon 13'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 90'+3'

Form Data

Hull City 1 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 0 Wrexham
Ipswich 2 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 0 - 1 Blackburn
Derby 1 - 0 Birmingham
Birmingham 1 - 1 Sheff Utd
Bristol City 2 - 4 Norwich
QPR 0 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 1 - 0 Sheff Utd
Charlton 1 - 2 Bristol City
Bristol City 0 - 1 West Brom
Middlesbrough 1 - 1 Bristol City