Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 57.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%) , while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.