Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (7.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.