Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.