Championship
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT MKM Stadium
  • Joe Gelhardt 24' goal
  • Kieran Dowell 75' yellowcard
  • Lewis Koumas 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Giles 83' yellowcard
  • Yu Hirakawa 83' yellowcard
  • Kyle Joseph 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 50'
  • yellowcard Demarai Gray 63'
  • yellowcard Marvin Ducksch 63'
  • goal Tomoki Iwata 77'
  • yellowcard Seung-ho Paik 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 90'+5'

Hull City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hull City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 2 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Joe Gelhardt

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 0 Wrexham
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Hull City 38.3%
Draw 26.27%
Birmingham City 35.4%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.71% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.43% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 24.57% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 51.96% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 48.04% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.33% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 69.63% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.97% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.03% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Hull City 28.18%
Draw 44.94%
Birmingham City 26.88%

Team To Score First

Hull City 45.17%
No Goal 6.99% (-0.01)
Birmingham City 47.84% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.14%
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 29.75%
Over 9 45.72%
Equal 9 12.41%
Under 9 41.86%
Over 10.5 34.16%
Under 10.5 65.84%

Hull City Goals

Over 1.5 39.39% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 60.61% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 16.74% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 83.26% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.78% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.22% (-0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 69.7% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.3% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.77% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 63.23% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.69% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.31% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.82% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.18% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Hull City 38.3%
Draw 26.28%
Birmingham City 35.41%
Hull City
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 5.55% (+0.02)
Total : 38.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23% (+0.02)
Total : 26.28%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35%
Other @ 4.59% (+0.02)
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Ozan Tufan 25' goal
  • Alfie Jones 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan James 26'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 33'
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 82'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 90'+3'
FA Cup
Jan 16, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Jay Stansfield 66' goal
  • Koji Miyoshi 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jason Lokilo 12'
FA Cup
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT KCOM Stadium
  • Matty Jacob 87' goal
  • Ozan Tufan 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 18'
  • yellowcard Lukas Jutkiewicz 39'
  • yellowcard Dion Sanderson 43'
  • yellowcard Siriki Dembele 57'
  • yellowcard Neil Etheridge 75'
  • yellowcard Krystian Bielik 86'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Kevin Long 55' yellowcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Delap 12'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 55'
  • goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace 74'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • goal Oscar Estupinan 77'