Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Craven Cottage

Fulham vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 1 - 1 Fulham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Harry Wilson

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.30pm
Newcastle 3 - 1 West Ham
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
William Osula

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fulham win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 34.64% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 1-2 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result

Fulham 41.16% (+0.03)
Draw 24.2%
Newcastle United 34.64% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 18.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 60.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.49% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.51% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 21.99% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.01% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Fulham 35.31%
Draw 39.81%
Newcastle United 24.88%

Team To Score First

Fulham 52.51%
No Goal 4.68% (+0.01)
Newcastle United 42.81% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.43%
Equal 8 10.26%
Under 8 22.31%
Over 9 56.13%
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 32.57%
Over 10.5 44.75%
Under 10.5 55.25%

Fulham Goals

Over 1.5 46.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.89% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.33% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.67% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.03% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.97% (-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.48% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.52% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.3% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 59.7% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 17.48% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.52% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.78% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.22% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fulham 41.17%
Draw 24.21%
Newcastle United 34.63%
Fulham
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.31%
Other @ 7.69% (+0.02)
Total : 41.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 4.68% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.21%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-1 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 5.44% (-0.02)
Total : 34.63%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 17, 2025 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Yoane Wissa 10' goal
  • Fabian Schar 23' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 82' yellowcard
  • Lewis Miley 90'+2' goal
  • goal Sasa Lukic 16'
  • yellowcard 23'
  • yellowcard Sasa Lukic 29'
Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Dan Burn 35' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 37' goal
  • Joelinton 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 78' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 17'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 20'
  • goal Raul Jimenez 61'
  • goal Rodrigo Muniz 82'
  • yellowcard Andreas Pereira 85'
  • yellowcard Bernd Leno 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Craven Cottage
  • Raul Jimenez 5' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 5' goal
  • Kenny Tete 21' yellowcard
  • Emile Smith Rowe 22' goal
  • Sasa Lukic 28' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 36' yellowcard
  • Andreas Pereira 44' yellowcard
  • Reiss Nelson 90'+2' goal
  • Harrison Reed 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Bernd Leno 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Harvey Barnes 46'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Craven Cottage
  • Sasa Lukic 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 19'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 51'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 81'
FA Cup
Jan 27, 2024 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Craven Cottage
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 20'
  • goal Sean Longstaff 39'
  • goal Dan Burn 61'