Championship Gameweek 46
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 3 Portsmouth
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol City win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 24.99% and a draw has a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 0-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).

Result

Bristol City 50.36% (-0.07)
Draw 24.65%
Stoke City 24.99% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.15%
Under 1.5 23.85%
Over 2.5 52.65% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.35% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.36%
Under 3.5 69.64%
Over 4.5 17.3% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.7% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 36.28%
Draw 42.82%
Stoke City 20.9%

Team To Score First

Bristol City 56.03%
No Goal 6.62%
Stoke City 37.35%

Corners

Over 8 57.64%
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 30.47%
Over 9 45.52%
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 42.36%
Over 10.5 34.24%
Under 10.5 65.76%

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 48.7% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.3% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.78% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 77.22% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.88% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.12% (+0.04)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 61.07% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.93% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 27.88% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 72.12% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.31% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.69% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Bristol City 50.35%
Draw 24.66%
Stoke City 24.97%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.28%
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 8.72% (-0.03)
Total : 50.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.48% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 6.78%
1-2 @ 6.49% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.41% (+0.02)
Total : 24.97%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Robins High Performance Centre
  • Anis Mehmeti 11' goal
  • Haydon Roberts 40' yellowcard
  • Anis Mehmeti 73' goal
  • Marcus McGuane 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 24'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 53'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Lewis Koumas 2' goal
  • Andy Moran 14' goal
  • Joon-Ho Bae 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 74' yellowcard
  • Jordan Thompson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Nahki Wells 50'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 51'
  • goal Nahki Wells 52'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Luke Cundle 25' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 45' goal
  • Million Manhoef 45'+2' goal
  • Million Manhoef 49' goal
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 4 2
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Nick Powell 36' goal
  • goal Zak Vyner 72'
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 85'