/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog.png)
-
Sam Gallagher
59'
-
Caleb Taylor
60'
-
Lamine Cissé
60'
-
Ben Pearson
74'
-
Milan Smit
74'
-
Camiel Neghli
20'
-
Femi Azeez
55'
-
Josh Coburn
69'
-
Mihailo Ivanović
80'
-
Danny McNamara
80'
-
Tom Watson
80'
-
Luke Cundle
85'
-
Macaulay Langstaff
85'
Stoke City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F09%2Fmark-robins-68d9299f15b13042557296.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result
Stoke City
35.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
25.94%
Millwall
38.48%
Both Teams to Score:
53.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.59%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
26.41%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
48.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
51.21%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
26.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
73.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
14.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
85.64%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Stoke City
31.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
44.28%
▲
(+0.04)
Millwall
24.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Team To Score First
Stoke City
48.06%
▲
(+0.04)
No Goal
7.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Millwall
44.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Corners
Over 8
66.63%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 8
10.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 8
22.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 9
54.94%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.69%
Under 9
33.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 10.5
43.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 10.5
56.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Stoke City Goals
Over 1.5
34.69%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
65.31%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
13.43%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
86.57%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
4.04%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.96%
▼
(-0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5
71.02%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
28.98%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
37.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
62.47%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
14.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
85.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
4.59%
Under 3.5
95.41%
Score analysis
Stoke City
35.6%
Draw
25.95%
Millwall
38.49%
Stoke City
1-0
@
9.47%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.6%
2-1 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 25.95%
0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 25.95%
Millwall
0-1
@
9.66%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 38.49%
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 38.49%