Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Bet365 Stadium

Stoke City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 1 Blackburn
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Sorba Thomas

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 8.00pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Stoke City has a probability of 36.36% and a draw has a probability of 25.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Stoke City win is 1-0 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Stoke City 36.36% (+1.00)
Draw 25.84% (-0.83)
Millwall 37.8% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.46% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 25.54% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 49.89% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 50.11% (-0.67)
Over 3.5 27.74% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 72.26% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 14.98% (+0.21)
Under 4.5 85.02% (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 31.23% (+0.83)
Draw 44.26% (-0.72)
Millwall 24.51% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Stoke City 48.3% (-0.36)
No Goal 6.98% (-0.19)
Millwall 44.72% (+0.54)

Corners

Over 8 66.53% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.65% (+0.25)
Under 8 22.82% (-0.29)
Over 9 54.86% (-0.28)
Equal 9 11.68% (+0.30)
Under 9 33.47% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 43.19% (-0.56)
Under 10.5 56.81% (+0.56)

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 35.91% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 64.09% (-0.65)
Over 2.5 14.1% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 85.9% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 4.29% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.71% (-0.11)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 71.02% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 28.98% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 37.65% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.35% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.63% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 85.37% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 4.69% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 95.31% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Stoke City 36.36%
Draw 25.83%
Millwall 37.81%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.34% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.24% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.64% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.16)
Other @ 4.27% (+0.22)
Total : 36.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.38)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.13)
Total : 25.83%
Millwall
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 8.57% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.46% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.79% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 4.67% (-0.05)
Total : 37.81%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Aidomo Emakhu 30' yellowcard
  • Aaron Connolly 76' yellowcard
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Koumas 63'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 76'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Wouter Burger 90'+3'
  • yellowcard 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Ben Gibson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Wouter Burger 50' yellowcard
  • Ben Gibson 60' goal
  • goal Josh Coburn 42'
  • yellowcard Romain Esse 53'
  • yellowcard Ryan Wintle 84'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Michael Rose 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 18'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 66'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 79'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • George Saville 7' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nisbet 38' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 18'
  • yellowcard Ben Wilmot 33'
  • yellowcard Ki-Jana Hoever 35'
  • yellowcard Ben Pearson 51'
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 82'
Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • goal Zian Flemming 9'