Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2026 1.00pm
The Den

Millwall vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 2 Millwall
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Norwich 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jovon Makama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Millwall win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Norwich City has a probability of 34.18% and a draw has a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Norwich City win is 0-1 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Millwall 39.84% (+0.22)
Draw 26.02% (-0.11)
Norwich City 34.18% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.26% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 23.93% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 52.47% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 47.5% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 30.56% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 69.44% (-0.55)
Over 4.5 17.14% (+0.43)
Under 4.5 82.86% (-0.43)

First Half Winner

Millwall 30.96% (+0.02)
Draw 44.68% (+0.01)
Norwich City 24.36% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Millwall 50.31% (+0.07)
No Goal 6.51% (-0.11)
Norwich City 43.18% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64% (-0.10)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 24.71% (+0.11)
Over 9 51.84% (-0.09)
Equal 9 12.16% (-0.01)
Under 9 36% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 39.95% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 60.05% (+0.08)

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 40.52% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 59.48% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 17.18% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 82.82% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 5.92% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 94.08% (-0.22)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5 69.47% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.53% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.22% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 63.78% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 14.26% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 85.74% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.65% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 95.35% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Millwall 39.85%
Draw 26.01%
Norwich City 34.18%
Millwall
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.13% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.88% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.71% (+0.21)
Total : 39.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.83% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 26.01%
Norwich City
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.44% (+0.09)
Total : 34.18%

Head to Head

Championship
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Den
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 8' goal
  • Femi Azeez 39' goal
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 69' goal
  • Luke Cundle 71' yellowcard
  • goal Shane Duffy 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 61'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 79'
  • yellowcard Onel Hernandez 89'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Emiliano Marcondes 4' goal
  • Oscar Schwartau 39' goal
  • Anis Ben Slimane 62' yellowcard
  • Oscar Schwartau 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 52'
  • goal Romain Esse 65'
Championship Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 18' goal
  • Jake Cooper 61' yellowcard
  • George Honeyman 81' yellowcard
  • George Saville 88' redcard
  • Duncan Watmore 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 60'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 75'
  • yellowcard Joshua Sargent 81'
  • yellowcard Adam Idah 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2023 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Jon Rowe 25' goal
  • Jon Rowe 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joshua Sargent 49' goal
  • Ashley Barnes 56' goal
  • Andrew Omobamidele 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Mitchell 45'+1'
  • goal Aidomo Emakhu 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 20' goal
  • Zian Flemming 83' goal
  • goal Jacob Sorensen 38'
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 55' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Sara 65'