Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Portsmouth has a probability of 29.04% and a draw has a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Portsmouth win is 0-1 (8.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).