Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.