Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.