Club Friendlies 3
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
St. James' Park

Newcastle United vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 5.15pm
Newcastle 1 - 3 Everton

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 12, 2026 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest 2 - 1 B. Leverkusen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen has a probability of 37.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win is 1-2 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.43%).

Result

Newcastle United 38.44% (-6.53)
Draw 24.31% (+1.47)
Bayer Leverkusen 37.25% (+5.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.43% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.27% (-1.89)
Under 1.5 17.73% (+1.89)
Over 2.5 61.46% (-3.48)
Under 2.5 38.54% (+3.47)
Over 3.5 40.82% (-2.87)
Under 3.5 59.18% (+2.87)
Over 4.5 25.07% (-3.09)
Under 4.5 74.93% (+3.10)

First Half Winner

Newcastle United 31.89% (-3.19)
Draw 39.53% (+1.58)
Bayer Leverkusen 28.58% (+1.61)

Team To Score First

Newcastle United 43.42% (-3.36)
No Goal 4.88% (+0.54)
Bayer Leverkusen 51.7% (+2.82)

Corners

Over 8 60.8% (-3.22)
Equal 8 10.72% (+0.30)
Under 8 28.48% (+2.93)
Over 9 49.64% (-3.22)
Equal 9 11.16% (+0.02)
Under 9 39.2% (+3.22)
Over 10.5 38.93% (-2.98)
Under 10.5 61.07% (+2.98)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 1.5 44.29% (-5.94)
Under 1.5 55.71% (+5.94)
Over 2.5 20.72% (-5.84)
Under 2.5 79.28% (+5.85)
Over 3.5 7.87% (-3.15)
Under 3.5 92.13% (+3.15)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 72.96% (+3.92)
Under 0.5 27.04% (-3.93)
Over 1.5 43.81% (+3.22)
Under 1.5 56.19% (-3.22)
Over 2.5 20.37% (+1.58)
Under 2.5 79.63% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 8.41% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 91.59% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 38.45%
Draw 24.31%
Bayer Leverkusen 37.25%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.69)
1-0 @ 6.69% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.67)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.70)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-1.17)
Other @ 7.58% (-3.11)
Total : 38.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.43% (+0.76)
2-2 @ 6.89% (+0.36)
0-0 @ 4.88% (+0.54)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.05)
Total : 24.31%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 7.74% (+0.94)
0-1 @ 6.17% (+1.31)
0-2 @ 5.08% (+1.05)
1-3 @ 4.14% (+0.53)
2-3 @ 3.53% (+0.44)
0-3 @ 2.47% (+0.33)
Other @ 8.12% (+0.47)
Total : 37.25%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 10, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bruno Guimaraes 13' goal
  • Ernest Poku 47' yellowcard
  • Mark Flekken 51' yellowcard
  • Aleix Garcia 51' yellowcard
  • Alex Grimaldo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 21'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 22'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 51'
  • goal Lewis Miley 74'
  • yellowcard Aaron Ramsdale 82'