Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.