Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Udinese 3 - 3 Mainz

Paris FC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 2.00pm
Stuttgart 2 - 2 Paris FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw has a probability of 25.46% and a win for Paris FC has a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.31%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Paris FC win it is 0-1 (6.12%).

Result

Mainz 05 52.43% (+0.40)
Draw 25.46% (-0.09)
Paris FC 22.11% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.42% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.03% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 23.97% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 52.23% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 47.77% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 30.09% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.91% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.11% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.89% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 40.61% (+0.26)
Draw 40.42% (-0.26)
Paris FC 18.97%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 59.1% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.83% (-0.08)
Paris FC 34.07% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 57.62% (-0.78)
Equal 8 11.58% (-0.04)
Under 8 30.8% (+0.82)
Over 9 45.84% (-0.67)
Equal 9 11.78% (-0.11)
Under 9 42.38% (+0.78)
Over 10.5 34.86% (-0.53)
Under 10.5 65.14% (+0.52)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 49.92% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 50.08% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 23.43% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 76.57% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 8.88% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 91.12% (-0.18)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 59.69% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 40.31% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 26.11% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 73.89% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 8.16% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 91.84% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.31% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.69% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 52.42%
Draw 25.45%
Paris FC 22.1%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 10.31% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.89% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.77% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 8.8% (+0.19)
Total : 52.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.45%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.23% (-0.05)
Total : 22.1%