Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion

Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 3 Heidenheim
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Budu Zivzivadze

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 6.30pm
Mainz 1 - 3 Union Berlin
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Heidenheim has a probability of 31.11% and a draw has a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Heidenheim win is 1-0 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

Heidenheim 31.11% (+0.01)
Draw 25.09% (+0.02)
Mainz 05 43.8% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.89% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.66% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 22.34% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 54.23% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.77% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.62% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 67.38% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.14% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 81.86% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Heidenheim 25.56% (+0.02)
Draw 41.48%
Mainz 05 32.97% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Heidenheim 42.67% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.91% (-0.01)
Mainz 05 51.42% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 55.78% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 32.62% (-0.07)
Over 9 44.15% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 44.22% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 33.45% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 66.56% (-0.05)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 1.5 34.06% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 65.94% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.05% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.04% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.96% (-0.03)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 75.84% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.16% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 44.92% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.08% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.14% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.86% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.49% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.51% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 31.12%
Draw 25.1%
Mainz 05 43.82%
Heidenheim
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.9% (+0.01)
Total : 31.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.02)
Total : 25.1%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78%
1-3 @ 5.15% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.35% (+0.02)
Total : 43.82%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Silvan Widmer 30' goal
  • Kacper Potulski 34' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 48' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 49' goal
  • Paul Nebel 59' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Nordin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sirlord Conteh 46'
  • yellowcard Adrian Beck 58'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schimmer 58'
  • goal Stefan Schimmer 60'
  • yellowcard Mathias Honsak 75'
  • yellowcard Yannik Wagner 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2025 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Voith-Arena
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 71'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28' redcard
  • Moritz Jenz 49' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 61' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 15'
  • yellowcard Omar Traore 48'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mainka 49'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 56'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 77'
  • redcard Niklas Dorsch 80'
  • goal Jan Schoppner 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Benedikt Gimber 35' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 65' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Burkardt 69'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Tom Krauss 38' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 44' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 12'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 30'
  • yellowcard Marnon Busch 34'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 57'