Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Heidenheim
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Walter-Birkhold-Jugendstadion
Mainz
  • Christian Conteh 45' yellowcard
  • Omar Traoré 46' yellowcard
  • Christian Conteh 46' yellowcard
  • Stefan Schimmer 65' yellowcard
  • Adrian Beck 73' yellowcard
  • Mathias Honsak 73' yellowcard
  • goal Phillip Tietz 7'
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 43'
  • yellowcard Danny da Costa 46'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 68'
  • yellowcard Jae-sung Lee 68'
  • yellowcard Lennard Maloney 77'
  • yellowcard Nelson Weiper 84'

Heidenheim vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 4.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 3 Heidenheim
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Budu Zivzivadze

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 6.30pm
Mainz 1 - 3 Union Berlin
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Phillip Tietz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-0 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Heidenheim 31.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Mainz 05 43.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.93%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 54.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 81.85% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Heidenheim 25.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 41.48%
Mainz 05 32.98% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Heidenheim 42.68% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Mainz 05 51.42%

Corners

Over 8 55.72% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 32.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 44.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 44.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 33.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 66.61% ▲ (+0.05)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 1.5 34.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 13.05%
Under 2.5 86.95%
Over 3.5 4.04%
Under 3.5 95.96%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 75.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 24.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.15% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 79.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.5% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Heidenheim 31.09%
Draw 25.08%
Mainz 05 43.8%
Heidenheim
1-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 31.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 43.8%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mainz
Jan 13, 2026 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
Heidenheim
  • Silvan Widmer 30' goal
  • Kacper Potulski 34' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 48' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 49' goal
  • Paul Nebel 59' yellowcard
  • Lennard Maloney 90' yellowcard
  • Arnaud Nordin 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sirlord Conteh 46'
  • yellowcard Adrian Beck 58'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schimmer 58'
  • goal Stefan Schimmer 60'
  • yellowcard Mathias Honsak 75'
  • yellowcard Yannik Wagner 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Heidenheim
Feb 16, 2025 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Voith-Arena
Mainz
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • Marvin Pieringer 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 28'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • goal Nelson Weiper 49'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 65'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 71'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Mainz
Sep 28, 2024 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
Heidenheim
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 28' redcard
  • Moritz Jenz 49' yellowcard
  • Dominik Kohr 61' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 15'
  • yellowcard Omar Traore 48'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mainka 49'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 56'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 77'
  • redcard Niklas Dorsch 80'
  • goal Jan Schoppner 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Heidenheim
May 5, 2024 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
Mainz
  • Benedikt Gimber 35' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 65' goal
  • Tim Kleindienst 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 27'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Burkardt 69'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Mainz
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
Heidenheim
  • Tom Krauss 38' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 44' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Pieringer 12'
  • yellowcard Benedikt Gimber 30'
  • yellowcard Marnon Busch 34'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 57'

Form Data

FC Koln 1 - 3 Heidenheim
Bayern 3 - 3 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 2 - 0 St Pauli
Freiburg 2 - 1 Heidenheim
Heidenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Borussia M'bach 2 - 2 Heidenheim
Mainz 1 - 3 Union Berlin
St Pauli 1 - 2 Mainz
Mainz 3 - 4 Bayern
Borussia M'bach 1 - 1 Mainz
Strasbourg 4 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 0 - 1 Freiburg