Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.