Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mewa Arena

Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 17, 2026 2.30pm
Mainz 0 - 0 Kaiserslautern

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.30pm
Swansea 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 28.05% and a draw has a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result

Mainz 05 46.52% (-0.02)
Draw 25.43% (+0.01)
Holstein Kiel 28.05% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.51% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.37%
Under 1.5 22.63%
Over 2.5 54.65% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.35% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.18% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.82% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.48% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.52% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Mainz 05 35.66% (-0.02)
Draw 43.15% (+0.01)
Holstein Kiel 21.19%

Team To Score First

Mainz 05 56.53% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.64%
Holstein Kiel 36.83% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.38% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.26% (-0.01)
Under 8 26.35% (-0.06)
Over 9 50.46% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.93% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.62% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 38.94% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 61.06% (-0.06)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 46.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.08% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.85% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.15% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.7% (+0.02)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 64.57% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.33% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.67% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.98%
Under 3.5 96.02%

Score analysis

Mainz 05 46.52%
Draw 25.42%
Holstein Kiel 28.04%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 9.3%
2-0 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 8.22% (-0.01)
Total : 46.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.42%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 28.04%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mewa Arena
  • Phillipp Mwene 33' yellowcard
  • Nelson Weiper 75' goal
  • Bo Henriksen 81' yellowcard
  • Moritz Jenz 84' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Bernhardsson 34'
  • yellowcard David Zec 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Remberg 51'
  • yellowcard Timo Becker 85'
  • yellowcard Lasse Rosenboom 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lasse Rosenboom 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 24, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Patrick Erras 56' yellowcard
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 11'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 37'
  • goal Lee Jae-sung 53'
DFB-Pokal
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
3
2
ET
  • Suat Serdar 10' yellowcard
  • Viktor Fischer 22' goal
  • Fabian Frei 49' yellowcard
  • Viktor Fischer 67' goal
  • Daniel Brosinski 101' goal
  • Robin Zentner 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominick Drexler 6'
  • goal Kingsley Schindler 54'
  • goal Dominick Drexler 74'
  • yellowcard Amara Conde 90'