2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 9, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel vs Magdeburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 0 Braunschweig
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Magdeburg

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30pm
Magdeburg 1 - 0 Hertha Berlin
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Mateusz Zukowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Magdeburg has a probability of 32.83% and a draw has a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Magdeburg win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.99%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 43.74% (+0.11)
Draw 23.42% (-0.12)
Magdeburg 32.83% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.25% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.62% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 16.38% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 63.74% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 36.26% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 41.52% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 58.48% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 25.64% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 74.36% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 31.76% (+0.13)
Draw 37.15% (+0.04)
Magdeburg 31.08% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 49.07% (+0.08)
No Goal 4.13% (-0.08)
Magdeburg 46.8%

Corners

Over 8 67.54% (-0.48)
Equal 8 10.79% (+0.06)
Under 8 21.68% (+0.45)
Over 9 55.55% (-0.49)
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 32.46% (+0.49)
Over 10.5 43.47% (-0.43)
Under 10.5 56.53% (+0.43)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 49.76% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 50.24% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 24.81% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 75.19% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 10.31% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 89.69% (-0.13)

Magdeburg Goals

Over 0.5 69.98%
Under 0.5 30.02%
Over 1.5 40.3%
Under 1.5 59.7%
Over 2.5 17.96% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.04% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.37% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 43.75%
Draw 23.43%
Magdeburg 32.83%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.19% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.85% (+0.13)
Total : 43.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.81% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 2.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 23.43%
Magdeburg
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 3.4% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.17% (+0.02)
Total : 32.83%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Dec 13, 2025 12.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Noah Phil Pesch 45'+1' goal
  • Falko Michel 47' yellowcard
  • Baris Atik 45'+3' goal
  • Laurin Ulrich 60' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Zukowski 84' goal
  • goal David Zec 43'
  • goal David Zec 68'
  • yellowcard David Zec 81'
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 86'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Marcus Müller 88'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 90'+2'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT MDCC-Arena
  • Tobias Muller 25' yellowcard
  • Jean Hugonet 29' yellowcard
  • Emir Kuhinja 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 18'
  • goal Timo Becker 27'
  • yellowcard Timon Weiner 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Remberg 90'+1'
DFB-Pokal
Nov 1, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 0 2
ET Holstein-Stadion
  • Philipp Sander 23' yellowcard
  • Daniel Heber 60' goal
  • Cristiano Piccini 68' goal
  • Lewis Holtby 112' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Pichler 120'+2' goal
  • goal Herbert Bockhorn 3'
  • goal Connor Krempicki 11'
  • yellowcard Leon Bell Bell 28'
  • yellowcard Daniel Heber 40'
  • goal Xavier Amaechi 93'
  • yellowcard Andi Hoti 110'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2023 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Steven Skrzybski 32' goal
  • Philipp Sander 50' goal
  • Lewis Holtby 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Schuler 2'
  • goal Jean Hugonet 21'
  • goal Luc Castaignos 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Heber 79'
  • goal Ahmet Arslan 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jamie Lawrence 90'+4'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 12.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Patrick Erras 33' goal
  • Jann-Fiete Arp 54' goal
  • goal Daniel Elfadli 45'
  • goal Herbert Bockhorn 70'
  • goal Moritz-Broni Kwarteng 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 7, 2022 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT MDCC-Arena
  • Jamie Lawrence 34' yellowcard
  • Jason Ceka 43' goal
  • Jamie Lawrence 57' redcard
  • Malcom Cacutalua 67' yellowcard
  • Dominik Reimann 84' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Komenda 18'
  • yellowcard Finn-Dominik Porath 29'
  • yellowcard Jann-Fiete Arp 33'
  • goal Benedikt Pichler 59'
  • yellowcard Marvin Schulz 80'
  • yellowcard Alexander Muhling 90'+3'