Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.