Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.