Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.