Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.