Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.