Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.