2.Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2026 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)
  • Vincent Vermeij 14' goal
  • Vincent Vermeij 36' goal
  • Jakob Lemmer 69' yellowcard
  • Konrad Faber 69' yellowcard
  • Stefan Kutschke 74' yellowcard
  • 74' yellowcard
  • Tony Menzel 74' yellowcard
  • Christoph Daferner 88' yellowcard
  • Christoph Daferner 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Schwab 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bernhardsson 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Leon Parduzi 74'
  • yellowcard I. Ugoh 74'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • goal Phil Harres 81'
  • yellowcard Frederik Roslyng 82'

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Dresden

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 12.00pm
Braunschweig 2 - 1 Dynamo Dresden
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Vincent Vermeij

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein Kiel 1 - 3 Magdeburg
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Phil Harres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

Dynamo Dresden 48.36% (+0.18)
Draw 22.67% (-0.22)
Holstein Kiel 28.97% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.9% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.26% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 15.74% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 64.78% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 35.22% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 43.96% (+0.54)
Under 3.5 56.04% (-0.54)
Over 4.5 27.99% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 72.01% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Dynamo Dresden 39.82% (-1.86)
Draw 39.9% (+1.13)
Holstein Kiel 20.28% (+0.74)

Team To Score First

Dynamo Dresden 59.72% (-0.57)
No Goal 3.83% (-0.09)
Holstein Kiel 36.45% (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 67.69% (+2.29)
Equal 8 10.45% (-0.56)
Under 8 21.86% (-1.74)
Over 9 56.12% (+2.68)
Equal 9 11.57% (-0.41)
Under 9 32.31% (-2.29)
Over 10.5 44.45% (+2.86)
Under 10.5 55.55% (-2.86)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 1.5 53.95% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 46.05% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 28.28% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 71.72% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 12.5% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 87.5% (-0.15)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 67.03% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.97% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.65% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 62.35% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 16.61% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.39% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.16% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.84% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Dynamo Dresden 48.35%
Draw 22.67%
Holstein Kiel 28.96%
Dynamo Dresden
2-1 @ 9.23% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.03% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 4.28% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.09)
Other @ 12.01% (+0.15)
Total : 48.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.6% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.83% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 2.18% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.67%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.65% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.36% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.15)
Other @ 5.67% (+0.05)
Total : 28.96%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Phil Harres 29' goal
  • Ivan Nekic 51' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Andreas Pauli 5'
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 12'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Sollbauer 41' yellowcard
  • Michael Akoto 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steven Skrzybski 37'
  • yellowcard Julian Korb 79'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2021 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lewis Holtby 10' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Pichler 65' goal
  • Fabian Reese 66' goal
  • goal Heinz Morschel 32'
  • yellowcard Michael Sollbauer 45'
  • yellowcard Christoph Daferner 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Robin Becker 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 32
Jun 18, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 30' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Iyoha 45'+1' goal
  • Lion Lauberbach 80' goal
  • yellowcard Jannik Muller 35'
  • redcard Jannik Muller 39'
  • yellowcard Ondrej Petrak 72'
  • yellowcard Sascha Horvath 84'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2019 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT DDV-Stadion (Dresden)
  • Rene Klingenburg 20' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ehlers 47' yellowcard
  • Florian Ballas 56' yellowcard
  • Florian Ballas 79' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Iyoha 15'
  • goal Salih Ozcan 30'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 12, 2019 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)
  • Lee Jae-sung 19' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 69' goal
  • Hauke Wahl 77' goal
  • Johannes van den Bergh 79' yellowcard