Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.