Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.30pm
Groupama Aréna

Swansea City vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
Holstein Kiel 4 - 1 Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 28.22% and a draw has a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-2 (7.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result

Swansea City 47.71% (-0.09)
Draw 24.07% (+0.02)
Holstein Kiel 28.22% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88%
Under 1.5 21.12%
Over 2.5 56.16% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 43.84% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.37% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 67.63% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 18.53%
Under 4.5 81.47%

First Half Winner

Swansea City 36.08% (-0.15)
Draw 42.49% (+0.18)
Holstein Kiel 21.43% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 55.64% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.32%
Holstein Kiel 39.04% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 69.78% (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.18% (-0.01)
Under 8 20.05% (-0.02)
Over 9 58.27% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.51% (-0.01)
Under 9 30.22% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 46.45% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 53.55% (-0.07)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 47.86% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.14% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.29% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.71% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.05%
Under 3.5 91.95%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 65.82% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.54% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 67.46% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.5% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 3.32% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.68% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Swansea City 47.72%
Draw 24.07%
Holstein Kiel 28.23%
Swansea City
2-1 @ 10.12%
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.14% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.23% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 8.03% (-0.01)
Total : 47.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 24.07%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 7.7% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.23%