Club Friendlies 3
Jul 18, 2026 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Groupama Aréna
  • Ronald 6' goal
  • Adam Idah 45' goal
  • goal David Zec 19'
  • goal Faride Alidou 58'

Swansea City vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 15, 2026 4.00pm
Holstein Kiel 4 - 1 Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Swansea City 48% (+0.29)
Draw 23.98% (-0.09)
Holstein Kiel 28.02% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.4% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.03% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 43.97% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 32.26% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 67.74% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 18.49% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.51% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Swansea City 36.04% (-0.04)
Draw 42.5% (+0.01)
Holstein Kiel 21.46% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Swansea City 55.73% (+0.09)
No Goal 5.33% (+0.01)
Holstein Kiel 38.94% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 70.24% (+0.46)
Equal 8 10.13% (-0.05)
Under 8 19.63% (-0.43)
Over 9 58.74% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 29.76% (-0.46)
Over 10.5 46.87% (+0.42)
Under 10.5 53.13% (-0.42)

Swansea City Goals

Over 1.5 48% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 52% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 22.37% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 77.63% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 8.09% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 91.91% (-0.05)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 65.61% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 34.39% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 32.29% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 67.71% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 11.32% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 88.68% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.25% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.75% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Swansea City 48.01%
Draw 23.99%
Holstein Kiel 28.04%
Swansea City
2-1 @ 10.15% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.42% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.33% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.16% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.27% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.08% (+0.06)
Total : 48.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.01)
Total : 23.99%
Holstein Kiel
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.24% (-0.06)
Total : 28.04%