Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
MATRADE Loftus Road

Queens Park Rangers vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 12.30pm
QPR 0 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Rayan Kolli

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 0 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 29.85% and a draw has a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.13%).

Result

Queens Park Rangers 45.19% (+0.43)
Draw 24.96% (-0.31)
Swansea City 29.85% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.49% (+0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.1% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 20.9% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 57.01% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 42.99% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 34.72% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 65.25% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 20.45% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 79.55% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Queens Park Rangers 31.52% (-0.81)
Draw 45% (+0.82)
Swansea City 23.47% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Queens Park Rangers 52.09% (-1.66)
No Goal 5.67% (-0.08)
Swansea City 42.24% (+1.74)

Corners

Over 8 56.54% (+0.83)
Equal 8 12.29% (+0.11)
Under 8 31.17% (-0.94)
Over 9 44.1% (+0.63)
Equal 9 12.44% (+0.21)
Under 9 43.46% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 32.65% (+0.38)
Under 10.5 67.35% (-0.39)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 47.3% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 52.7% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 22.66% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 77.34% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 8.94% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.06% (+0.04)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 66.8% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 33.2% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 34.7%
Under 1.5 65.3%
Over 2.5 13.4% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.3% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.7% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Queens Park Rangers 45.2%
Draw 24.96%
Swansea City 29.84%
Queens Park Rangers
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.59% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.64% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.69% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.61% (-0.01)
Total : 45.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.33% (-0.02)
Total : 24.96%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.09% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.97% (-0.03)
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 22, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Harrison Ashby 40' yellowcard
  • Karamoko Dembele 72' goal
  • goal Morgan Fox 29' (OG)
  • goal Harry Darling 55'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Liam Cullen 12' goal
  • Liam Cullen 28' goal
  • Goncalo Franco 33' goal
  • Ji-Sung Eom 50' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kieran Morgan 34'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Paal 37'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Varane 81'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • goal Steve Cook 71'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Osman Kakay 67' yellowcard
  • Lyndon Dykes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 5'
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 7'
  • yellowcard Oliver Cooper 90'+7'
  • redcard Oliver Cooper 90'+8'
Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
  • Jamal Lowe 27' goal
  • goal Jay Fulton 81'