Championship
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Ali Ahmed 62' yellowcard
  • Jacob Wright 77' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kvistgaarden 78' yellowcard
  • Kenny McLean 83' yellowcard
  • Amankwah Forson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zan Vipotnik 53'
  • yellowcard Adam Idah 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 60'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 68'
  • yellowcard Leo Walta 74'
  • yellowcard Melker Widell 74'

Norwich City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
Norwich 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2026 7.45pm
QPR 1 - 2 Swansea
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Zan Vipotnik

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Norwich City 47.04% (+0.02)
Draw 23.16% (+0.04)
Swansea City 29.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.33% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.19% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 17.81% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 61.76% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 38.24% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 40.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.64% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 26.05% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 73.95% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 37.14% (-0.08)
Draw 41.85% (+0.01)
Swansea City 21.01% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 58.06% (-0.15)
No Goal 4.63% (+0.02)
Swansea City 37.31% (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 64.45% (+0.46)
Equal 8 11.48% (-0.02)
Under 8 24.07% (-0.43)
Over 9 51.99% (+0.40)
Equal 9 12.46% (+0.06)
Under 9 35.55% (-0.46)
Over 10.5 39.77% (+0.32)
Under 10.5 60.23% (-0.32)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 50.79% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 49.21% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 26.15% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 73.85% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.46% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 88.54% (-0.03)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 66.4% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.6% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.69% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 63.31% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 16.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.94% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.08% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Norwich City 47.04%
Draw 23.18%
Swansea City 29.82%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69%
Other @ 11.02% (+0.01)
Total : 47.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.63% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.44% (+0.03)
Total : 23.18%
Swansea City
1-2 @ 6.98% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 5.64%
Total : 29.82%

Head to Head

Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Joshua Sargent 44' goal
  • Oscar Schwartau 53' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Marcondes 61' yellowcard
  • Joshua Sargent 63' goal
  • Lewis Dobbin 76' goal
  • Ante Crnac 84' goal
  • Emiliano Marcondes 87' goal
  • goal Liam Cullen 62'
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Amankwah Forson 4' goal
  • Harry Darling 53' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcelino Nunez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Kenny McLean 48'
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 67'
Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 3 2
FT Carrow Road
  • Gabriel Sara 34' goal
  • Gabriel Sara 34' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 45'+3' goal
  • Angus Gunn 53' yellowcard
  • Sam McCallum 77' yellowcard
  • Kenny McLean 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Paterson 24'
  • goal Jamie Paterson 24'
  • yellowcard Jamie Paterson 45'
  • goal Matt Grimes 53'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 57'
Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Jamal Lowe 3' goal
  • Jamal Lowe 48' yellowcard
  • Josh Key 52' yellowcard
  • Liam Cullen 55' yellowcard
  • Oliver Cooper 76' yellowcard
  • Bashir Humphreys 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 18'
  • goal Gabriel Sara 22'
  • yellowcard Jon Rowe 61'
Championship Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Carrow Road
  • goal Joel Latibeaudiere 23'
  • goal Liam Cullen 39'
  • goal Olivier Ntcham 64'