Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Phil Harres 58' goal
  • goal Eskild Munk Dall 5'
  • goal Elias Hansborg-Sørensen 38'
  • goal Felix Winther 73'

Holstein Kiel vs Fredericia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Ferencvaros 0 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Fredericia

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 3, 2026 12.00pm
Horsens 0 - 3 Fredericia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Fredericia had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fredericia win was 1-2 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Holstein Kiel 47.07% (+0.07)
Draw 24.93% (+0.15)
Fredericia 27.99% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.75% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.21% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 20.79% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 56.38% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 43.62% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 33.35% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.65% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 19.05% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.95% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 36.21% (-0.08)
Draw 37.89% (+0.08)
Fredericia 25.9%

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 56.31% (+0.10)
No Goal 5.39% (+0.03)
Fredericia 38.3% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 75.99% (+0.10)
Equal 8 8.78% (-0.03)
Under 8 15.23% (-0.09)
Over 9 65.46% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.53% (-0.01)
Under 9 24.01% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 54% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 46% (-0.11)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 48.01% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.99% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 22.45% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.55% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.09% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.91% (+0.01)

Fredericia Goals

Over 0.5 66.32% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 33.68% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 33.07% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 66.93% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 11.81% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 88.19% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 3.76% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.24% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 47.09%
Draw 24.93%
Fredericia 27.99%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.14% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.15% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.94% (-0.02)
Total : 47.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.23% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 24.93%
Fredericia
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.61% (-0.04)
Total : 27.99%