Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2026 3.00pm
Kufstein-Arena

Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mainz 3 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 28, 2026 4.30pm
Udinese 1 - 2 Shabab Al-Ahli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 30.4% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win is 2-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.9%).

Result

Mainz 05 30.4% (+0.60)
Draw 23.7% (-0.20)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 45.9% (-0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.3% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.61% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 19.39% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 58.5% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 41.5% (-1.00)
Over 3.5 36.1% (+1.11)
Under 3.5 63.9% (-1.01)
Over 4.5 21.39% (+0.82)
Under 4.5 78.61% (-0.82)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 1.5 35.47% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 64.53% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 14.12% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 85.88% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 4.61% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 95.39% (-0.35)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals

Over 0.5 78.15% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 21.85% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 48.52% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 51.48% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 23.38% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 76.62% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 9.18% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 90.82% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 30.4%
Draw 23.69%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 45.9%
Mainz 05
2-1 @ 7.32% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.44% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.32% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.26% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.37% (+0.34)
Total : 30.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.2% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.23)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.24% (+0.02)
Total : 23.69%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.9% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.51% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.94% (+0.17)
Total : 45.9%