Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.