Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.09% and a win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Melbourne City win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.