AFC Champions League
Mar 10, 2026 12.15pm
0
0
ET Chang Arena
  • Filip Stojkovic 10' yellowcard
  • Kenny Dougall 25' yellowcard
  • Supachai Chaided 46' yellowcard
  • Kasper Junker 71' yellowcard
  • Rubén Sánchez 106' yellowcard
  • Shinnaphat Leeaoh 120'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kavian Rahmani 46'
  • yellowcard Max Caputo 80'
  • yellowcard Elbasan Rashani 87'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 101'
  • yellowcard Emin Durakovic 120'+5'
  • yellowcard Emin Durakovic 120'+6'

Buriram United vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45am
Melbourne City 1 - 1 Buriram Utd

Melbourne City

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Mar 3, 2026 7.45am
Melbourne City 1 - 1 Buriram Utd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.09% and a win for Melbourne City had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Melbourne City win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Buriram United 58.56% (+0.28)
Draw 21.09% (-0.11)
Melbourne City 20.35% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% (-0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.85% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 20.15% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 58.45% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 41.55% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 35.69% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 64.31% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 23.8% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 76.2% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Buriram United 48.14%
Draw 34.43%
Melbourne City 17.42%

Team To Score First

Buriram United 66.06% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.75% (+0.05)
Melbourne City 28.19% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.85% (-0.41)
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 29.79% (+0.42)
Over 9 49.11% (-0.40)
Equal 9 10.74% (-0.03)
Under 9 40.15% (+0.41)
Over 10.5 38.81% (-0.34)
Under 10.5 61.19% (+0.34)

Buriram United Goals

Over 1.5 57.01% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 42.99% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 32.92% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 67.08% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.17% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 83.83% (+0.04)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 53.52% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 46.48% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 23.52% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 76.48% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 8.09% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 91.91% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 2.38% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 97.62% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Buriram United 58.55%
Draw 21.1%
Melbourne City 20.36%
Buriram United
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.88% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 8.83% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 7.12% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.07)
Other @ 15.91% (-0.03)
Total : 58.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.75% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26% (-0.02)
Total : 21.1%
Melbourne City
0-1 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.08% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.12% (-0.05)
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Mar 3, 2026 7.45am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Max Caputo 68' yellowcard
  • Kavian Rahmani 68' yellowcard
  • Elbasan Rashani 78' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bissoli 37'
  • yellowcard Suphanat Mueanta 62'
  • yellowcard Rubén Sánchez 71'
AFC Champions League
Oct 21, 2025 8.45am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AFC Champions League
Nov 8, 2023 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Nuno Reis 49' yellowcard
  • goal Goran Causic 86'
AFC Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Chang Arena
  • Sasalak Haiprakon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 15'
  • goal Alessandro Lopane 22'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 41'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lopane 51'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 82'