AFC Champions League Gameweek 8
Feb 18, 2026 10.00am
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City vs Gangwon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00am
Ulsan 1 - 2 Melbourne City

Gangwon

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 10.00am
Gangwon 0 - 0 Shanghai Port

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw has a probability of 22.98% and a win for Gangwon has a probability of 19.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Gangwon win it is 0-1 (6.23%).

Result

Melbourne City 57.64% (-0.97)
Draw 22.98% (+0.83)
Gangwon 19.34% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.31% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.69% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 49.95% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 50.05% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 27.81% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.19% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.97% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 83.03% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 41.43% (-1.29)
Draw 40.26% (+0.49)
Gangwon 18.31% (+0.80)

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 61.27% (-0.99)
No Goal 7.28% (+0.24)
Gangwon 31.45% (+0.76)

Corners

Over 8 50.02% (-0.59)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.42)
Under 8 38.52% (+1.02)
Over 9 39.02% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11% (-0.45)
Under 9 49.98% (+0.59)
Over 10.5 29.28% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 70.72% (-0.27)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 51.61% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 48.39% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 26.05% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 73.95% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 11.15% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 88.85% (-0.11)

Gangwon Goals

Over 0.5 52.47% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 47.53% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 20.44% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 79.56% (-0.30)
Over 2.5 5.88% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 94.12% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.44% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.56% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 57.63%
Draw 22.99%
Gangwon 19.35%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.32)
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.44% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.15)
Other @ 11.08% (+0.06)
Total : 57.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (+0.26)
0-0 @ 7.28% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.09% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.07)
Total : 22.99%
Gangwon
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.06% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.93% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.37% (-0.02)
Total : 19.35%