Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.06% and a win for Gangwon had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%) , while for a Gangwon win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.