Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 29.38% and a draw has a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).