Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Jan 30, 2026 6.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Eze Kelvin 23' goal
  • Eze Kelvin 52' goal
  • Corban Piper 64' yellowcard
  • Sander Kartum 64' yellowcard
  • Nikola Mileusnic 75' yellowcard
  • Matthew Sheridan 75' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kelly-Heald 89' yellowcard
  • Manjrekar James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 54'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mazzeo 54'
  • yellowcard Marcus Younis 54'
  • yellowcard Takeshi Kanamori 54'
  • yellowcard Peter Antoniou 72'
  • goal Marcus Younis 73'
  • goal Medin Memeti 77'
  • yellowcard Liam Bonetig 84'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 89'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Wong 90'

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 8.35am
Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Eze Kelvin

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 8.35am
Macarthur 6 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 29.38% and a draw has a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-0 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result

Wellington Phoenix 29.38%
Draw 25.57% (-0.04)
Melbourne City 45.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.56% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.78%
Under 3.5 72.22%
Over 4.5 15.1% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.9% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 25.8%
Draw 40.07%
Melbourne City 34.13%

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 38.76%
No Goal 6.98% (-0.01)
Melbourne City 54.26% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.22%
Equal 8 11.51%
Under 8 29.27%
Over 9 47.35%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 40.78%
Over 10.5 36.14%
Under 10.5 63.86%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 30.58% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.42% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.69% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.31% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.01% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.99% (+0.01)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 75.58% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.42% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.92%
Under 1.5 57.08%
Over 2.5 18.53%
Under 2.5 81.47%
Over 3.5 6.33%
Under 3.5 93.67%

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 29.37%
Draw 25.56%
Melbourne City 45.1%
Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.06%
2-0 @ 4.68% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36%
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 25.56%
Melbourne City
0-1 @ 10.63% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79%
Other @ 6.27% (+0.01)
Total : 45.1%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2025 6.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Alex Rufer 70' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 51'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 6.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Harry Politidis 7' goal
  • Harry Politidis 7' goal
  • Kai Trewin 61' yellowcard
  • Kai Trewin 61' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 83' goal
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 83' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 9, 2024 8.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • James Jeggo 15' yellowcard
  • James Jeggo 15' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 58' goal
  • Samuel Souprayen 58' goal
  • Samuel Souprayen 72' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 72' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 79' yellowcard
  • Marin Jakolis 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 34'
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 34'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 70'
  • yellowcard Kosta Barbarouses 70'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 82'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 25, 2023 3.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Bozhidar Kraev 48' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 48' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 72' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 68'
  • yellowcard Curtis Good 68'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 10, 2023 7.00am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Jamie MacLaren 34' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 52' goal
  • Marco Tilio 57' goal
  • Marco Tilio 83' goal
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 49'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Jan 2, 2023 2.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • David Ball 16' goal
  • goal Mathew Leckie 18'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 51'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 90'+6'