Jan 30, 2026 6.00am

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Eze Kelvin 23'
Eze Kelvin 52'
Corban Piper 64'
Sander Kartum 64'
Nikola Mileusnic 75'
Matthew Sheridan 75'
N. Mileusnić 75'
Matt Sheridan 75'
Lukas Kelly-Heald 89'
Manjrekar James 90'+2'

Andreas Kuen 54'
Benjamin Mazzeo 54'
Marcus Younis 54'
Takeshi Kanamori 54'
Peter Antoniou 72'
Marcus Younis 73'
Medin Memeti 77'
Liam Bonetig 84'
Lawrence Wong 89'
Lawrence Wong 90'

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

L
W
D
W
L
W

Australian A-League

L
W
D
W
L
W

Last game

Jan 23, 2026 8.35am

Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Eze Kelvin

Melbourne City

All competitions

L
W
L
W
D
L

Australian A-League

L
W
L
W
D
L

Last game

Jan 24, 2026 8.35am

Macarthur 6 - 2 Melbourne City

Goals scored

20

Top scorer

Medin Memeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 29.38%

Draw 25.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Melbourne City 45.09%

Both Teams to Score:

54.48%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 1.5 25.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 50.02% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 49.98% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 27.78%

Under 3.5 72.22%

Over 4.5 15.1% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 84.9% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 25.8%

Draw 40.07%

Melbourne City 34.13%

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 38.76%

No Goal 6.98% ▼ (-0.01)

Melbourne City 54.26% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.22%

Equal 8 11.51%

Under 8 29.27%

Over 9 47.35%

Equal 9 11.87%

Under 9 40.78%

Over 10.5 36.14%

Under 10.5 63.86%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 30.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Under 1.5 69.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 2.5 10.69% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 89.31% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 3.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 96.99% ▲ (+0.01)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 75.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 0.5 24.42% ▲ (+0.03)

Over 1.5 42.92%

Under 1.5 57.08%

Over 2.5 18.53%

Under 2.5 81.47%

Over 3.5 6.33%

Under 3.5 93.67%

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 29.37%

Draw 25.56%

Melbourne City 45.1%

Wellington Phoenix

1-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 7.06%

2-0 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.02)

3-1 @ 2.79%

3-2 @ 2.05%

3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 2.95%

Total : 29.37%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.18% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 5.36%

Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)

Total : 25.56%

Melbourne City

0-1 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 4.53%

0-3 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.79%

Other @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 45.1%

Head to Head

Feb 28, 2025 6.30am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Westpac Stadium

Alex Rufer 70'

Marco Tilio 51'
Kai Trewin 76'

Jan 3, 2025 6.00am

2

0

HT : 2 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Harry Politidis 7'
Harry Politidis 7'
Kai Trewin 61'
Kai Trewin 61'
Nathaniel Atkinson 83'
Nathaniel Atkinson 83'

Mar 9, 2024 8.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT AAMI Park

James Jeggo 15'
James Jeggo 15'
Samuel Souprayen 58'
Samuel Souprayen 58'
Samuel Souprayen 72'
Samuel Souprayen 72'
Andrew Nabbout 79'
Marin Jakolis 84'

Youstin Salas 34'
Youstin Salas 34'
Kosta Barbarouses 70'
Kosta Barbarouses 70'
Alex Rufer 82'

Nov 25, 2023 3.30am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT Wellington Regional Stadium

Bozhidar Kraev 48'
Bozhidar Kraev 48'
Bozhidar Kraev 72'
Bozhidar Kraev 72'

Curtis Good 68'
Curtis Good 68'

Apr 10, 2023 7.00am

4

1

HT : 1 0

FT AAMI Park

Jamie MacLaren 34'
Jamie MacLaren 52'
Marco Tilio 57'
Marco Tilio 83'

Steven Ugarkovic 49'

Jan 2, 2023 2.00am

1

3

HT : 1 1

FT Westpac Stadium

David Ball 16'

Mathew Leckie 18'
Jamie MacLaren 51'
Jamie MacLaren 90'+6'

Form Data

Newcastle Jets 4 - 1 Wellington

Sydney FC 0 - 2 Wellington

Wellington 2 - 2 Adelaide United

Brisbane Roar 0 - 3 Wellington

Victory 5 - 1 Wellington

Wellington 3 - 1 Central Coast

Macarthur 6 - 2 Melbourne City

Melbourne City 2 - 1 Auckland FC

Melbourne City 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Melbourne City 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar

Melbourne City 0 - 0 Sydney FC

Melbourne City 1 - 3 Perth Glory