Australian A-League Gameweek 14
Jan 24, 2026 8.35am
Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 7.00am
Central Coast 0 - 0 Macarthur
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Harry Sawyer

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 8.35am
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Auckland FC
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Kavian Rahmani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Macarthur has a probability of 27.54% and a draw has a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Macarthur win is 1-0 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.67%).

Result

Macarthur 27.54% (-0.31)
Draw 25.05% (+0.09)
Melbourne City 47.41% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.9% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 26.8% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 48.94% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 51.06% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 27.72% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 72.28% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.27% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 84.73% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Macarthur 24.41% (-0.04)
Draw 38.75% (-0.11)
Melbourne City 36.84% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Macarthur 37.62% (+0.23)
No Goal 7.64% (+0.09)
Melbourne City 54.74% (-0.31)

Corners

Over 8 63.92% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.47%
Under 8 25.61% (+0.04)
Over 9 52.73% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.19% (-0.01)
Under 9 36.08% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.74% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 58.26% (+0.01)

Macarthur Goals

Over 1.5 28.07% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 71.93% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 9.3% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 90.7% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.57% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.43% (+0.05)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 75.74% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 24.26% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 44.01% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 55.99% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 20% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.06%
Under 3.5 92.94%

Score analysis

Macarthur 27.53%
Draw 25.07%
Melbourne City 47.41%
Macarthur
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 6.47% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 4.47% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.56% (-0.05)
Total : 27.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.64% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.07%
Melbourne City
0-1 @ 11.01% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.15% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.12% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.16% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94%
Other @ 7.05%
Total : 47.41%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Dec 23, 2025 8.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aziz Behich 25' goal
  • Andreas Kuen 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frans Deli 17'
  • yellowcard Luke Brattan 33'
  • goal Rafael Duran 36'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Oliveira 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2025 8.35am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Max Caputo 11' yellowcard
  • Max Caputo 33' goal
  • Max Caputo 74' goal
  • Yonatan Cohen 86' yellowcard
  • Yonatan Cohen 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Hollman 57'
  • yellowcard Peter Makrillos 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Jan 25, 2025 8.35am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium
  • Jake Hollman 46' yellowcard
  • Frans Deli 58' yellowcard
  • Valere Germain 62' goal
  • Walter Scott 70' yellowcard
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 1, 2024 9.28am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
  • 21' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 47' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 57' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Nabbout 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 12, 2023 4.00am
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Leo Natel 15' yellowcard
  • Leo Natel 15' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 58' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 58' goal
  • Hamza Sakhi 71' yellowcard
  • Hamza Sakhi 71' yellowcard
  • Jamie MacLaren 90' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 90' goal
  • Terry Antonis 90'+3' goal
  • Terry Antonis 90'+3' goal
  • goal Ulises Davila 61'
  • goal Ulises Davila 61'
  • yellowcard Yianni Nicolaou 64'
  • yellowcard Raphael Borges Rodrigues 64'
  • yellowcard Yianni Nicolaou 64'
  • yellowcard Raphael Borges Rodrigues 64'
  • goal Jake Hollman 83'
  • goal Jake Hollman 83'
  • goal Matthew Millar 88'
  • goal Matthew Millar 88'
Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 19, 2023 8.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
  • Jason Romero 26' goal
  • goal Jonathan Aspropotamitis 66' (OG)