Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Ulsan Hyundai had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-0 (9.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.