Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.