Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Ulsan Hyundai had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.