AFC Champions League
Mar 3, 2026 7.45am
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City vs Buriram United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Buriram United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Buriram United win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Melbourne City has a probability of 34.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Melbourne City win is 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.46%).

Result

Melbourne City 34.77% (+0.04)
Draw 25.07%
Buriram United 40.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.05% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.22% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.78% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.94% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.06% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.56% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 24.63%
Draw 40.76%
Buriram United 34.61%

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 41.77% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.1% (-0.02)
Buriram United 51.13% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.74% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 34.76% (-0.03)
Over 9 42.38% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 46.26% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 32.06%
Under 10.5 67.94%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 35.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.58% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.03% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.57% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.43% (-0.02)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5 71.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.57% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 39.91% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.09% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.86% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.94%
Under 3.5 94.06%

Score analysis

Melbourne City 34.77%
Draw 25.07%
Buriram United 40.15%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.37% (+0.03)
Total : 34.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25.07%
Buriram United
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.74%
Total : 40.15%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Oct 21, 2025 8.45am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AFC Champions League
Nov 8, 2023 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Nuno Reis 49' yellowcard
  • goal Goran Causic 86'
AFC Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Chang Arena
  • Sasalak Haiprakon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 15'
  • goal Alessandro Lopane 22'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 41'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lopane 51'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 82'