AFC Champions League
Mar 3, 2026 7.45am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Max Caputo 68' yellowcard
  • Kavian Rahmani 68' yellowcard
  • Elbasan Rashani 78' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mazzeo 90'+5' goal
  • goal Bissoli 37'
  • yellowcard Suphanat Mueanta 62'
  • yellowcard Rubén Sánchez 71'

Melbourne City vs Buriram United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Buriram United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-0 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 33.33% (-1.33)
Draw 25.02% (-0.02)
Buriram United 41.69% (+1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.67% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.92% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 25.08% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 50.83% (-0.63)
Under 2.5 49.17% (+0.63)
Over 3.5 28.99% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 70.98% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 16.5% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 83.5% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 24.95% (+0.33)
Draw 40.65% (-0.11)
Buriram United 34.4% (-0.22)

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 41.1% (-0.73)
No Goal 7.02% (-0.02)
Buriram United 51.88% (+0.75)

Corners

Over 8 51.22% (-2.50)
Equal 8 11.68% (+0.18)
Under 8 37.1% (+2.33)
Over 9 39.9% (-2.49)
Equal 9 11.32% (-0.03)
Under 9 48.78% (+2.50)
Over 10.5 29.81% (-2.26)
Under 10.5 70.19% (+2.25)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 33.98% (-1.53)
Under 1.5 66.02% (+1.52)
Over 2.5 13.31% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 86.69% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.36)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5 72.55% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 27.45% (-0.84)
Over 1.5 40.76% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 59.24% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 17.53% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 82.47% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 6.49% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 93.51% (-0.48)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 33.33%
Draw 25.02%
Buriram United 41.68%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 8.44% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.34)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.07% (-0.32)
Total : 33.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.03)
Total : 25.02%
Buriram United
0-1 @ 9.65% (+0.65)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.1% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.99% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.36% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.21)
Other @ 6.32% (+0.52)
Total : 41.68%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Oct 21, 2025 8.45am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AFC Champions League
Nov 8, 2023 9.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Nuno Reis 49' yellowcard
  • goal Goran Causic 86'
AFC Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Chang Arena
  • Sasalak Haiprakon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 15'
  • goal Alessandro Lopane 22'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 41'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lopane 51'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 82'