Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-0 (8.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.