Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
Feb 21, 2026 8.35am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory
  • Max Caputo 32' goal
  • Kavian Rahmani 58' yellowcard
  • Emin Durakovic 59' yellowcard
  • Andreas Kuen 70' yellowcard
  • Zane Schreiber 70' yellowcard
  • Samuel Souprayen 78' yellowcard
  • goal Juan Mata 20'
  • yellowcard Matthew Grimaldi 62'
  • yellowcard Nikos Vergos 62'
  • goal Juan Mata 64'
  • yellowcard Clarismario 81'
  • goal Clarismario 89'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 90'+2'

Melbourne City vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.35am
Western Sydney 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Medin Memeti

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 6.00am
Victory 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne City 44.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 24.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Melbourne Victory 30.53% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 53.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 46.26% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.26% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Melbourne City 31.68%
Draw 42.15%
Melbourne Victory 26.17%

Team To Score First

Melbourne City 49.87% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.35%
Melbourne Victory 43.78% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 24.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 52.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 35.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 41.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 58.57% ▲ (+0.01)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 1.5 44.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.85% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 7.36% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.64% ▼ (-0.05)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 66.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 12.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.46% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.17% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 44.58%
Draw 24.9%
Melbourne Victory 30.53%
Melbourne City
1-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 44.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.9%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 30.53%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Melbourne City
Dec 20, 2025 8.35am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Victory
  • German Ferreyra 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Davidson 17'
  • yellowcard Louis D'Arrigo 50'
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 72'
  • goal Matthew Grimaldi 90'+1'
Australian A-League
Victory
Nov 8, 2025 8.35am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Melbourne City
Australian A-League
Melbourne City
May 31, 2025 10.40am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Victory
  • Yonatan Cohen 10' goal
  • Yonatan Cohen 33' yellowcard
  • German Ferreyra 63' yellowcard
  • Mathew Leckie 79' yellowcard
  • Marco Tilio 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Rawlins 73'
  • yellowcard Joshua Inserra 78'
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Victory
Feb 22, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Melbourne City
  • Clarismario Santos Rodrigus 48' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 45'+7' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 53' yellowcard
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • goal Marco Tilio 5'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 44'
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Atkinson 50'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 56'
  • goal Kai Trewin 70'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Victory
Dec 21, 2024 8.35am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
Melbourne City
  • Roderick Miranda 65' goal
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • goal Yonatan Cohen 16'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Andreas Kuen 38'
  • yellowcard Samuel Souprayen 69'
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 85'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Melbourne City
Oct 26, 2024 9.35am
1
3
HT : 0 6
FT AAMI Park
Victory
  • Steven Ugarkovic 40' yellowcard
  • Steven Ugarkovic 40' yellowcard
  • Andrew Nabbout 64' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 5'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 5'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 13'
  • goal Nikolaos Vergos 13'
  • goal Ryan Teague 25'
  • goal Ryan Teague 25'

Form Data

Melbourne City 0 - 0 Gangwon
Ulsan 1 - 2 Melbourne City
Western Sydney 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Wellington 2 - 2 Melbourne City
Macarthur 6 - 2 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Auckland FC
Victory 1 - 1 Brisbane Roar
Wellington 2 - 3 Victory
Central Coast 1 - 0 Victory
Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Victory
Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney