Feb 1, 2026 6.00am

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

D
D
L
D
L
L

Australian A-League

D
D
L
D
L
L

Last game

Jan 24, 2026 4.00am

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Central Coast

Goals scored

13

Top scorer

Oliver Lavale

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

W
L
L
D
W
W

Australian A-League

W
L
L
D
W
W

Last game

Jan 26, 2026 6.40am

Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC

Goals scored

17

Top scorer

Nikolaos Vergos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 25.06% and a draw has a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win is 1-0 (6.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.72%).

Result

Central Coast Mariners 25.06% ▲ (+0.54)

Draw 22.64% ▼ (-0.13)

Melbourne Victory 52.33% ▼ (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score:

56.58% ▲ (+0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.64% ▲ (+0.68)

Under 1.5 21.36% ▼ (-0.68)

Over 2.5 55.67% ▲ (+0.92)

Under 2.5 44.33% ▼ (-0.92)

Over 3.5 33.94% ▲ (+0.73)

Under 3.5 66.06% ▼ (-0.74)

Over 4.5 19.44% ▲ (+0.50)

Under 4.5 80.56% ▼ (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Central Coast Mariners 20.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Draw 38.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Melbourne Victory 41.08% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Central Coast Mariners 33.12% ▲ (+0.09)

No Goal 5.18% ▼ (-0.25)

Melbourne Victory 61.7% ▲ (+0.17)

Corners

Over 8 72.64% ▲ (+0.08)

Equal 8 8.97%

Under 8 18.39% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 9 62.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Equal 9 10.32% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 9 27.36% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 10.5 51.44% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 10.5 48.56% ▼ (-0.06)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 1.5 28.75% ▲ (+0.90)

Under 1.5 71.25% ▼ (-0.90)

Over 2.5 10.35% ▲ (+0.58)

Under 2.5 89.65% ▼ (-0.57)

Over 3.5 2.95% ▲ (+0.23)

Under 3.5 97.05% ▼ (-0.24)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 80.78% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 0.5 19.22% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 1.5 51.53% ▲ (+0.19)

Under 1.5 48.47% ▼ (-0.19)

Over 2.5 25.2% ▲ (+0.17)

Under 2.5 74.8% ▼ (-0.16)

Over 3.5 9.81% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 3.5 90.19% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 25.06%

Draw 22.65%

Melbourne Victory 52.33%

Central Coast Mariners

1-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.11)

2-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.13)

2-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.13)

3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.09)

3-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.07)

Other @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.21)

Total : 25.06%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.72% ▼ (-0.09)

2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.13)

0-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.25)

3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.08)

Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 22.65%

Melbourne Victory

0-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.29)

1-2 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.21)

1-3 @ 6.14% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.05)

2-3 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.08)

Total : 52.33%

Head to Head

Mar 8, 2025 8.35am

3

0

HT : 6 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Nishan Velupillay 9'
Nishan Velupillay 9'
Nishan Velupillay 9'
Bruno Fornaroli 41'
Bruno Fornaroli 41'
Bruno Fornaroli 41'
Nishan Velupillay 55'
Nishan Velupillay 55'
Joshua Rawlins 85'
Joshua Rawlins 85'
Zinedine Machach 90'+2'
Zinedine Machach 90'+2'

Christian Theoharous 56'
Christian Theoharous 56'
Nicholas Duarte 58'
Nicholas Duarte 58'

Oct 18, 2024 9.35am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Central Coast Stadium

Alfie McCalmont 53'

Ryan Teague 4'
Jason Geria 33'
Roderick Miranda 60'
Jack Duncan 90'+6'

May 25, 2024 10.55am

3

1

HT : 0 0

ET Central Coast Stadium

Jacob Farrell 83'
Ryan Edmondson 90'+1'
Miguel Di Pizio 97'
Ryan Edmondson 120'+1'

Adama Traore 21'
Jason Geria 50'
Daniel Arzani 70'
Damien Da Silva 107'

Feb 25, 2024 6.00am

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT Marvel Stadium

Jason Geria 21'
Jason Geria 21'
Daniel Arzani 47'
Daniel Arzani 47'
Roderick Miranda 59'
Roderick Miranda 59'
Roderick Miranda 80'
Roderick Miranda 80'
Jordi Valadon 90'
Jordi Valadon 90'

Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
Alou Kuol 56'
Alou Kuol 56'
Angel Torres 65'
Angel Torres 65'
Ronald Barcellos Arantes 90'+7'
Ronald Barcellos 90'+7'
Storm Roux 90'+10'
Storm Roux 90'+10'

Jan 13, 2024 6.15am

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT Allianz Stadium

Alou Kuol 29'
Jacob Farrell 75'
Jing Reec 89'

Fabian Monge 7'
Damien Da Silva 25'
Daniel Arzani 33'
Roderick Miranda 84'
Nishan Velupillay 90'+4'

Dec 3, 2023 4.00am

2

2

HT : 2 2

FT Central Coast Stadium

Alou Kuol 16'
Alou Kuol 16'
Max Balard 49'
Max Balard 49'
Brian Kaltack 56'
Brian Kaltack 56'
Angel Torres 73'
Angel Torres 73'

Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
Nishan Velupillay 52'
Nishan Velupillay 52'
Roderick Miranda 68'
Roderick Miranda 68'

Form Data

Auckland FC 2 - 2 Central Coast

Central Coast 0 - 0 Macarthur

Perth Glory 3 - 0 Central Coast

Adelaide United 0 - 0 Central Coast

Central Coast 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar

Wellington 3 - 1 Central Coast

Victory 4 - 0 Sydney FC

Adelaide United 2 - 1 Victory

Victory 0 - 1 Western Sydney

Victory 0 - 0 Perth Glory

Victory 5 - 1 Wellington

Melbourne City 0 - 1 Victory